I work in Germany, where a company can fire an employee at will in the first six months, but only for very good reasons afterwards. So the first six months are seen as a kind of probation period.
In the company and the department I work in, it is extremely rare that someone is fired in the first six months. So rare that nobody really considers this possibility. But recently it did happen.
She surely had her weaknesses, but it was also a very difficult situation. Without going into details, I think part of the problem was that she didn't get to see anything of the actual job she was hired to do for four months.
Also, the layoff came as a complete surprise to her. They gave her only the mandatory two week's notice, and went to great lengths to conceal their intentions from her, not only not giving her any warning, but also ostentatiously alluding to her future tasks only days before they fired her.
Two weeks ago, her successor arrived. Our boss already told him he's going to do something else at first. I'm really afraid this is going down exactly the same way as before.
Should I warn him?
On the one hand, it might encourage him to take an active role in his training and maybe show our boss some eagerness to start his actual job, which, in my opinion, would benefit his chances greatly.
On the other hand, this is his first job ever. He is clearly nervous, and telling him he might get fired is not going to help. Also, I could be completely overestimating the danger and create problems out of nothing.
I'm in the same team, but probably not directly working together with him in the next six months. If our boss asks my opinion, I'll give it, but otherwise it's not my immediate concern. It is rather a perceived moral obligation between colleagues that makes me want to interfere.
So, should I tell my colleague he might get fired?